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Farr's Law

Farr was an early public health statistician. His law says that the curve of the number of infected during an epidemic is roughly bell-shaped. He did this by fitting quadratics and cubics to the logarithm of the number of infections. Complete the square on the former then exponentiate to produce the normal distribution.

Themes

Exponential growth, Epidemiology, Normal distribution

History

1840 AD Farr Farr's Law
1927 AD Kermack & McKendrick Standard SIR model