Stoch Answers Papers Up

Problems with Brownian Motion

Mandlebrot showed that cotton prices are not normally distributed. Subsequently other studies showed more assets do not follow Brownian Motion.

During this decade Brownian Motion was replaced by Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) in which the logarithm of the price is normally distributed. i.e. The asset price growth with time is exponential plus noise.

Themes

Exponential, Finance, Normal distribution

History

1900 AD Bachelier Brownian Motion
1963 AD Mandlebrot Cotton prices
1973 AD Black, Scholes & Merton Black-Scholes